Siemens (SIEMENS)
CyclicalFairStock Score: 49/100 — MIXED
Score breakdown: P/E: 0/3 · ROCE: 1/2 · Growth: 0/2 · Dividend: 0/1
Key Financials
| Current Price | ₹3,940 |
| Market Cap | ₹1,40,311.49 Cr |
| P/E Ratio | 83.33 |
| ROCE | 15.83% |
| ROE | 13.36% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.46% |
| Profit Growth | 474.97% |
| Debt/Equity | 0.02 |
| Sales Growth | 7.99% |
| Free Cash Flow | ₹3,495 Cr |
| Promoter Holding | 75% |
| 52-Week Range | ₹2,826 — ₹4,149.4 |
| Sector | Electrical Equipment |
| Book Value | ₹388.64 |
Strengths
- Near-debt-free balance sheet with Debt/Equity of 0.01
- Strong free cash flow of ₹3,495 Cr
- Altman Z-Score of 5.50 indicates robust financial stability
- Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 reflects sound operational health
- High promoter holding of 75% aligns with minority shareholders
Concerns
- P/E of 74.44 and P/B of 10.40 are very expensive relative to ROE of 13.36%
- Sales fell 8.57% and profit fell 30.13%, showing deteriorating momentum
- Price far exceeds Graham Number of ₹644.03 and DCF value of ₹464.86, leaving no margin of safety
- Dividend yield of only 0.35% provides negligible downside support
AI Analysis
At first glance, Siemens looks like the kind of quality business I could admire. The balance sheet is fortress-like: debt/equity of 0.01, free cash flow of ₹3,495 Cr, Altman Z-Score of 5.50, and a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9. With 75% promoter holding, minority shareholders are in good company. The heavy electrical equipment industry requires trust, scale and execution, and Siemens clearly has that. But Graham taught me to buy with a margin of safety, and here the gap is not a margin—it's a canyon. At ₹3,864.40, the stock trades at a P/E of 74.44 and P/B of 10.40. The company earned an ROE of only 13.36% and ROCE of 15.83%. Those are decent, but not enough to justify such a premium. Meanwhile, momentum is going backwards: sales fell 8.57% and profit fell 30.13%. A five-year revenue CAGR of only 5.64% doesn't exactly scream growth. The indicators I rely on value the business far lower. Graham Number gives ₹644.03, and the DCF value is ₹464.86. Even accepting uncertainty, the current price demands a level of future perfection that this recent operating performance does not support. The dividend yield of 0.35% is negligible, so I am not being paid to wait. This is a high-quality cyclical, not a growing franchise at a fair price. The company's financial strength protects it, but the stock price already reflects a sunny future. If the business can turn sales growth positive and restore profit growth, I would revisit. But at this valuation, I would rather miss the next move than risk a permanent loss. Patience is the investor's greatest ally.
Data from BSE/NSE filings. AI analysis is for educational purposes only — not investment advice. Scoring methodology · Disclaimer