Siemens (SIEMENS)

Cyclical

FairStock Score: 49/100 — MIXED

Score breakdown: P/E: 0/3 · ROCE: 1/2 · Growth: 0/2 · Dividend: 0/1

Key Financials

Current Price₹3,940
Market Cap₹1,40,311.49 Cr
P/E Ratio83.33
ROCE15.83%
ROE13.36%
Dividend Yield0.46%
Profit Growth474.97%
Debt/Equity0.02
Sales Growth7.99%
Free Cash Flow₹3,495 Cr
Promoter Holding75%
52-Week Range₹2,826 — ₹4,149.4
SectorElectrical Equipment
Book Value₹388.64

Strengths

Concerns

AI Analysis

At first glance, Siemens looks like the kind of quality business I could admire. The balance sheet is fortress-like: debt/equity of 0.01, free cash flow of ₹3,495 Cr, Altman Z-Score of 5.50, and a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9. With 75% promoter holding, minority shareholders are in good company. The heavy electrical equipment industry requires trust, scale and execution, and Siemens clearly has that. But Graham taught me to buy with a margin of safety, and here the gap is not a margin—it's a canyon. At ₹3,864.40, the stock trades at a P/E of 74.44 and P/B of 10.40. The company earned an ROE of only 13.36% and ROCE of 15.83%. Those are decent, but not enough to justify such a premium. Meanwhile, momentum is going backwards: sales fell 8.57% and profit fell 30.13%. A five-year revenue CAGR of only 5.64% doesn't exactly scream growth. The indicators I rely on value the business far lower. Graham Number gives ₹644.03, and the DCF value is ₹464.86. Even accepting uncertainty, the current price demands a level of future perfection that this recent operating performance does not support. The dividend yield of 0.35% is negligible, so I am not being paid to wait. This is a high-quality cyclical, not a growing franchise at a fair price. The company's financial strength protects it, but the stock price already reflects a sunny future. If the business can turn sales growth positive and restore profit growth, I would revisit. But at this valuation, I would rather miss the next move than risk a permanent loss. Patience is the investor's greatest ally.

Data from BSE/NSE filings. AI analysis is for educational purposes only — not investment advice. Scoring methodology · Disclaimer