IDFC First Bank (IDFCFIRSTB)
TurnaroundFairStock Score: 38/100 — MIXED
Score breakdown: P/E: 0/3 · ROCE: 0/2 · Growth: 2/2 · Dividend: 0/1
Key Financials
| Current Price | ₹85.69 |
| Market Cap | ₹73,838.25 Cr |
| P/E Ratio | 33.08 |
| ROCE | 6.22% |
| ROE | 4.13% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.29% |
| Profit Growth | -23.2% |
| Debt/Equity | 7.63 |
| Sales Growth | -1.1% |
| Free Cash Flow | ₹11,291 Cr |
| Promoter Holding | 0% |
| 52-Week Range | ₹58.08 — ₹88.05 |
| Sector | Banks |
| Book Value | ₹55.11 |
Strengths
- Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicates solid operational and financial improvement
- Strong free cash flow of ₹11,291 Cr provides liquidity cushion
- Sales growth of 11.61% with latest quarterly revenue of ₹10,417 Cr shows expanding business
- Book value of ₹44.37 offers tangible asset support at 1.53 P/B
- Relatively low P/B of 1.53 if earnings can recover
Concerns
- P/E of 40.11 is steep given profit decline of -18.22% and low ROE of 4.13%
- Promoter holding is 0.00%, leaving no skin in the game
- Margin of safety is -53.01% and price is above Graham Number of ₹48.02
- High debt/equity of 7.63 and Altman Z-Score of 0.46 signal balance sheet stress
AI Analysis
If I were to evaluate IDFC First Bank as a business, the first thing I notice is that I am being asked to pay ₹67.83 for a bank with book value of ₹44.37, which is 1.53 times book. In Graham's language, that is not a margin of safety. The Graham Number, derived from earnings and book value, is ₹48.02—meaning the price is above the defensive investor's threshold. The negative margin of safety of -53.01% tells me the margin is not just absent but uncomfortable. The P/E of 40.11 looks even worse because profits have actually declined 18.22%. A bank earning 4.13% return on equity and 6.22% ROCE is not a marvelous franchise; it is a mediocre capital allocator. The heavy debt-to-equity of 7.63 might be common for banks, but combined with an Altman Z-Score of 0.46, it raises questions about financial stress. The DCF value of ₹702.94 is a fool's gold if future cash flows assume aggressive growth; I rather trust my Graham Number. Still, there are hopeful signs: Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9 suggests improving profitability, leverage and efficiency. Free cash flow of ₹11,291 Cr and quarterly revenue of ₹10,417 Cr with profit of ₹479 Cr show the engine is running, and sales grew 11.61%. But a zero promoter holding is concerning; in India, I want skin in the game. This is not a stalwart or fast grower—it is a possible turnaround, needing proof that returns on equity can climb. I will not chase it at this price.
Data from BSE/NSE filings. AI analysis is for educational purposes only — not investment advice. Scoring methodology · Disclaimer