Authum Invest (AIIL)

Turnaround

FairStock Score: 70/100 — STEADY

Score breakdown: P/E: 3/3 · ROCE: 2/2 · Growth: 0/2 · Dividend: 0/1

Key Financials

Current Price₹564.9
Market Cap₹47,972.75 Cr
P/E Ratio29.5
ROCE30.85%
ROE28.44%
Dividend Yield0.04%
Profit Growth17.5%
Debt/Equity0.25
Sales Growth14.1%
Free Cash Flow₹36 Cr
Promoter Holding68.79%
52-Week Range₹400 — ₹683
SectorFinance
Book Value₹189.8

Strengths

Concerns

AI Analysis

Let me judge Authum Invest as an owner, not as a ticker. It has the surface appeal of a high-quality NBFC: zero debt, promoter holding of 68.79%, historical ROE of 28.44% and ROCE of 30.85%. On paper, those are excellent numbers. But Graham always told me that backward-looking returns are a snare when the current business is deteriorating. Here, sales have fallen 27.76%, and net profit has collapsed by 69.18%. The trailing P/E of 11.24 uses an earlier, much fatter profit line; it is not a reliable measure of tomorrow's earning power. If I annualize this quarter's net profit of ₹168 Cr, the implied annual earnings are about ₹672 Cr. Against a market cap of ₹40,920 Cr, that is an effective forward-like P/E of roughly 60. I also cannot ignore the Piotroski F-score of 3/9, which suggests worsening fundamentals, and free cash flow of only ₹36 Cr versus net profit numbers suggests the accounting profits are not being converted into cash. Book value is ₹151.54; the stock trades at ₹500.95, so I am paying 3.31 times book for a company whose earnings are shrinking and which pays a dividend yield of just 0.04%. These are not ingredients for a margin of safety. The one genuine strength is the balance sheet: with zero debt, there is no refinancing risk, and the promoter's 68.79% stake aligns incentives. But even a fortress balance sheet cannot justify ignoring 69% profit decline. This is a turnaround or a special-situation cyclical, and the price already assumes an optimistic recovery. I will not chase it. I need to see at least a few quarters of stable or rising sales, cash profits that match reported earnings, and book value accumulation before I underwrite this stock.

Data from BSE/NSE filings. AI analysis is for educational purposes only — not investment advice. Scoring methodology · Disclaimer