YPF Sociedad Anonima Common Stock (YPF)

FairStock Score: 45/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

Looking at YPF, I see a large integrated oil and gas business in Argentina and South America, with upstream, midstream, downstream, LNG and new energies operations. The latest reported quarter, fiscal Q2 2026, showed $6.6B of revenue, $1.2B of net income and an 18.27% margin. Trailing free cash flow was $2.4B, which against an $18.4B market cap gives a 13.1% FCF yield. That is the most attractive figure in the packet. The Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, a FairStock calculation, also suggests recent financial statements are stronger than average. But I am not paid for optimism alone. At the 2026-10-13 close of $51.79, FairStock's P/E is 27.40, P/B is 1.94, ROE is 7.26% and ROCE is 8.34%. Those are not the returns of a wonderful business, and the Graham Number of $11.65 leaves a margin of safety of -344.55%, meaning the price is far above a conservative asset-and-earnings value. The Altman Z-Score of 1.00, a FairStock calculation, warns of balance-sheet stress, and debt-to-equity of 0.85 is not trivial. The Lynch category is none because only 0 years of filed results are available, and the rules need 3. EV/EBITDA of 3.75 and PEG of 0.03 suggest the market may be pricing in risk. My conclusion: a cash-rich but leveraged commodity business, priced richly against Graham value and only modestly against cash flow. I would want more annual filed history and a wider margin of safety.

In plain English: YPF is an energy company that produces, refines and sells oil and gas in Argentina and South America. Its latest reported quarter showed $6.6B of revenue and $1.2B of profit, an 18.27% margin, and it generated $2.4B of cash after running and investing in the business over the past year. At $51.79 on 2026-10-13, the shares look expensive compared with the company's accounting value and current earnings, even though cash generation looks strong.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer