YPF Sociedad Anonima Common Stock (YPF)

FairStock Score: 45/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

Concerns

• Currently unprofitable—sustained losses could lead to dilutive capital raises or balance sheet deterioration
• Revenue declining at 4.5% year-over-year signals potential demand weakness or market share loss
• Altman Z-Score of 0.7 places it in the financial distress zone—elevated bankruptcy risk

AI Analysis

YPF Sociedad Anonima Common Stock is a mid-cap energy company valued at $18.4 billion. Revenue stands at $25.3 trillion, though the company is currently unprofitable. From a quality standpoint, YPF shows solid Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and distressed Altman Z-Score of 0.7 warrants caution. On valuation, the stock is 1.7% FCF yield. Growth dynamics show revenue growing at -4.5% and profit growth of -125.5%. Our composite FairStock Score of 45/100 reflects mixed fundamentals overall. Without profitability, this remains speculative—suitable only for those with high risk tolerance and a long time horizon.

Bull Case

Improving fundamentals and sector tailwinds could drive meaningful earnings growth, compressing the effective multiple for patient investors. Operational leverage in the business model means incremental revenue growth could disproportionately boost bottom-line profitability.

Bear Case

Without a clear path to profitability, continued cash burn forces either dilutive equity raises or debt accumulation that destroys shareholder value. Sluggish -4% growth in a large-cap company leaves the stock vulnerable to de-rating if the market rotates toward higher-growth opportunities.

Data from SEC filings. AI analysis is for educational purposes only — not investment advice. Scoring methodology · Disclaimer