Weyerhaeuser Company (WY)

FairStock Score: 24/100 — RISKY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I look for durable assets, honest accounting, and a price that leaves room for error. Weyerhaeuser owns or controls more than 10 million acres of timberlands, a real asset with scale and a long-lived competitive advantage. But the numbers show a cyclical, capital-intensive REIT, not a compounding machine. Annual revenue declined from $7.7B in FY2023 to $7.1B in FY2024 and $6.9B in FY2025; net income fell from $839M to $396M to $324M over the same filed periods. The latest quarter, fiscal Q2 2026 ended 2026-06-30, was better: revenue $1.9B and net income $162M, versus $87M in fiscal Q2 2025, so conditions may be improving. Still, at the 2026-10-13 close, FairStock calculations show a 28.7 P/E, 1.45 P/B, 4.97% ROE, 0.67% ROCE, and negative trailing free cash flow of $447M. The 3.96% dividend yield is attractive only if cash flow recovers. Debt/equity of 0.58 and an Altman Z of 1.48 warrant attention. Piotroski 8/9 suggests recent accounting strength. Since this is a REIT, P/E and EPS are distorted by depreciation; FFO/AFFO are not in the data. I would lean on P/B, dividend yield, leverage, and revenue trend. FairStock classifies it as a slow grower that has shrunk profits -16.5% a year over five years and revenue -1.7%. At 1.45x book, it is not obviously expensive, but negative FCF and a soft long-term trend call for patience. Not a bargain I can underwrite with confidence.

In plain English: Weyerhaeuser owns more than 10 million acres of timberland in the U.S. and also manages Canadian forests under long licenses. The land is valuable, but overall sales and profits have fallen over the past few years, though the latest quarter was better than a year earlier. At $18.97, the shares sit near the low end of their yearly range and look roughly fair rather than clearly cheap, because cash flow is negative and debt is meaningful.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer