Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American Depositary Shares each representing one series A share with no par value (VIST)

FairStock Score: 82/100 — HIGH CONVICTION

Key Financials

Strengths

• Strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicating robust financial health across profitability, leverage, and efficiency metrics
• High return on equity of 34.8% demonstrating efficient capital deployment
• Revenue growth of 52.7% demonstrates strong top-line momentum
• FairStock composite score of 82/100 places it in the top tier across value, quality, and momentum factors

Concerns

• Altman Z-Score of 1.5 places it in the financial distress zone—elevated bankruptcy risk

AI Analysis

Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American Depositary Shares each representing one series A share with no par value is a small-cap energy company valued at $7.4 billion. The business generates $2.5 billion in annual revenue with a 3.5% net margin. From a quality standpoint, Vista shows solid Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and distressed Altman Z-Score of 1.5 warrants caution. On valuation, the stock is attractively valued at 10.5x earnings, with trades above its Graham Number with a negative 20% margin. Growth dynamics show revenue growing at 52.7% and profit growth of 90.5%. Our composite FairStock Score of 82/100 reflects strong fundamentals overall. Investors should weigh the business quality against the current price and their own margin of safety requirements.

Bull Case

Vista's 53% revenue growth trajectory could accelerate as it captures additional market share in the energy sector. Operational leverage in the business model means incremental revenue growth could disproportionately boost bottom-line profitability.

Bear Case

Macro headwinds or sector-specific disruption could pressure margins, particularly if competitive intensity increases in the energy space. Regulatory changes, input cost inflation, or demand normalization represent underappreciated risks that could materially impact forward estimates.

Data from SEC filings. AI analysis is for educational purposes only — not investment advice. Scoring methodology · Disclaimer