Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation Common Stock (VAC)

FairStock Score: 41/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I see Marriott Vacations as a consumer-cyclical vacation ownership and exchange business. Its brand and recurring fee streams are attractive, but the numbers show a company in transition. In fiscal 2025, the year ended 2025-12-31, revenue was $4.7B but net income was -$308M and diluted EPS was -$8.84, after earning $218M in fiscal 2024 and $254M in fiscal 2023. That swing puts it in FairStock's TURNAROUND category: a loss in the latest year after earlier profits. Recent quarters are better: in fiscal Q1 2026, the quarter ended 2026-03-31, net income was $22M and diluted EPS was $0.64; in fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, net income was $77M and diluted EPS was $2.12. Still, I am not comforted by the balance sheet. FairStock's calculations show debt-to-equity of 2.69, Altman Z-Score of 0.95, ROCE of 2.84%, and ROE of -14.71%. Those are not the marks of a low-risk compounder. On the positive side, Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, TTM free cash flow is $99M, and dividend yield is 3.11%. At the 2026-10-13 close of $108.54, market cap was $3.7B, and FairStock's P/B was 1.87 and P/E was -11.34. FCF yield is 2.7%, which is modest. The 52-week range of $44.58 to $131.34 shows how volatile sentiment has been. I see a leveraged, cyclical turnaround whose brand gives it a chance, but the price already assumes better days.

In plain English: Marriott Vacations Worldwide sells and manages vacation ownership resorts and exchange services. The business is uneven: it earned money in the first two quarters of fiscal 2026 but lost money in fiscal 2025, and it carries a lot of debt. At the recent close, the price looks mixed—not obviously cheap or expensive based on its assets and recent profits.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer