UGI Corporation Common Stock (UGI)

FairStock Score: 55/100 — STEADY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I look for steady businesses bought at sensible prices. UGI distributes gas and propane, essential services with repeat demand, but it is not a wide-moat franchise. FairStock calculations show return on capital employed of just 4.75%, debt-to-equity of 1.35, and revenue growth of 0.71%, so the balance sheet and growth deserve attention. The filed record is uneven but improving from a deep hole: fiscal 2023, ended 2023-09-30, lost $1.5 billion; fiscal 2024, ended 2024-09-30, earned $269 million; fiscal 2025, ended 2025-09-30, earned $678 million, or $3.09 per diluted share. In the fiscal third quarter of 2026, ended 2026-06-30, revenue was $1.3 billion and net loss was $133 million, or -$0.62 per diluted share, yet earlier in fiscal 2026 the fiscal second quarter ended 2026-03-31 produced $520 million of net income. At the 2026-10-13 close of $37.65, FairStock's P/E was 12.51 and P/B was 1.49, while its Graham Number was $40.53, offering only a 7.11% margin of safety. Free cash flow of $187 million is a thin 2.3% yield, and the 3.98% dividend needs watching. The Altman Z-Score of 0.93 and Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 signal financial fragility. The Lynch category is turnaround because it returned to profit after a loss within three years. I see value potential, but not enough safety yet.

In plain English: UGI is a utility and propane distributor that sells and moves gas to homes and businesses. The business looks mixed: it lost money in the most recent quarter and carries a lot of debt, though it was profitable over the past year. At the recent price, the stock looks roughly fair, perhaps a little cheap compared with its earnings history, but not a clear bargain.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q3 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2025-12-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-09-30) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-09-30) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-09-30)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer