Udemy Inc. Common Stock (UDMY)

FairStock Score: 35/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

Strengths

• Generates $129 million in annual free cash flow (19.3% yield on market cap)
• Conservative balance sheet with debt-to-equity of just 0.05, providing financial flexibility

Concerns

• Trades significantly above Graham Number ($1) with negative 363% margin of safety—limited downside protection
• Currently unprofitable—sustained losses could lead to dilutive capital raises or balance sheet deterioration
• Revenue declining at 3.0% year-over-year signals potential demand weakness or market share loss
• Altman Z-Score of -0.3 places it in the financial distress zone—elevated bankruptcy risk

AI Analysis

Udemy Inc. Common Stock is a micro-cap consumer defensive company valued at $668 million. Revenue stands at $790 million, though the company is currently unprofitable. From a quality standpoint, Udemy shows distressed Altman Z-Score of -0.3 warrants caution and modest 2% ROE. On valuation, the stock is commanding a steep 157.7x multiple, with trades far above its Graham Number ($1) with no margin of safety. Growth dynamics show revenue growing at -3.0% and profit growth of 76.4%. Our composite FairStock Score of 35/100 reflects below-average fundamentals overall. Without profitability, this remains speculative—suitable only for those with high risk tolerance and a long time horizon.

Bull Case

Improving fundamentals and sector tailwinds could drive meaningful earnings growth, compressing the effective multiple for patient investors. With $129 million in annual free cash flow (19.3% yield), management has ample capital for buybacks, dividends, or accretive acquisitions.

Bear Case

At 158x earnings, any growth disappointment triggers rapid multiple compression—a 20% earnings miss plus multiple contraction to 20x implies 40%+ downside. Regulatory changes, input cost inflation, or demand normalization represent underappreciated risks that could materially impact forward estimates.

Data from SEC filings. AI analysis is for educational purposes only — not investment advice. Scoring methodology · Disclaimer