Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)
CyclicalFairStock Score: 19/100 — RISKY
Key Financials
| Current Price | $403.82 |
| Market Cap | $1.60T |
| P/E Ratio | 370.48 |
| ROE | 4.67% |
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
AI Analysis
AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.
As a Buffett/Graham investor, I start with what is known: Tesla sells electric vehicles and energy generation and storage. In fiscal Q3 2026, the quarter ended 2026-09-30, the filed figures show revenue of $28.0B and net income of $787.0M, or diluted EPS of $0.22. In fiscal Q3 2025, the quarter ended 2025-09-30, those were revenue of $28.1B, net income of $1.4B and EPS of $0.39. That is weaker profitability on roughly flat sales. In fiscal year 2025, ended 2025-12-31, revenue was $94.8B, net income $3.8B and EPS $1.08, down from fiscal year 2024 revenue of $97.7B, net income $7.1B and EPS $2.04; fiscal year 2023 EPS was $4.30. The business has scale and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18, but returns are low: FairStock ROE is 4.67% and ROCE is 1.93%. The key question is whether the vehicle and energy offerings produce durable pricing power; the provided latest-quarter net margin of 2.81% suggests pressure, not a wide margin of safety. Valuation offers no Graham cushion: at the 2026-10-26 close, FairStock P/E is 359.28, P/B is 17.80, EV/EBITDA is 130.47, FCF yield is 0.2%, and the Graham Number is $23.54, implying a -1481.22% margin of safety. FairStock Score of 25/100 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 reinforce caution, while Altman Z-Score of 13.84 indicates low near-term distress risk. The Lynch category is CYCLICAL - Auto Manufacturers because earnings follow the economic cycle. I would want evidence that profits and cash generation recover before the price looks supported by intrinsic value.
In plain English: Tesla makes electric cars and energy generation and storage products. In the latest filed quarter, sales were about $28 billion and net income was $787 million, but profit was lower than a year earlier. At the 2026-10-26 close, the share price looks expensive compared with current earnings and accounting value.
The full AI analysis, bull and bear case and key monitorables are in FairStock Pro.
Data as of 2026-10-26 close · note generated 2026-10-28 · model deepseek-flash
Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q3 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)
Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer