Travel Leisure Co. Common Stock (TNL)

FairStock Score: 62/100 — STEADY

Key Financials

Strengths

• Generates $531 million in annual free cash flow (13.2% yield on market cap)
• Attractive 3.8% dividend yield providing steady income returns
• Established organization with 19,300 employees providing operational scale

Concerns

• Altman Z-Score of 1.6 places it in the financial distress zone—elevated bankruptcy risk

AI Analysis

Travel Leisure Co. Common Stock is a small-cap consumer cyclical company valued at $4.0 billion. The business generates $4.0 billion in annual revenue with a 2.0% net margin and $531 million in free cash flow. From a quality standpoint, Travel shows solid Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and distressed Altman Z-Score of 1.6 warrants caution. On valuation, the stock is reasonably priced at 17.4x earnings, with PEG of 2.12 implies growth is already in the price. Growth dynamics show revenue growing at 2.9% and profit growth of 8.2%. The 3.8% dividend yield adds an income component for patient holders. Our composite FairStock Score of 62/100 reflects above-average fundamentals overall. Investors should weigh the business quality against the current price and their own margin of safety requirements.

Bull Case

Improving fundamentals and sector tailwinds could drive meaningful earnings growth, compressing the effective multiple for patient investors. With $531 million in annual free cash flow (13.2% yield), management has ample capital for buybacks, dividends, or accretive acquisitions.

Bear Case

Macro headwinds or sector-specific disruption could pressure margins, particularly if competitive intensity increases in the consumer cyclical space. Regulatory changes, input cost inflation, or demand normalization represent underappreciated risks that could materially impact forward estimates.

Data from SEC filings. AI analysis is for educational purposes only — not investment advice. Scoring methodology · Disclaimer