Taylor Morrison Home Corporation Common Stock (TMHC)

FairStock Score: 68/100 — STEADY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

As a value investor, I ask whether a dollar of price buys more than a dollar of durable value. Taylor Morrison is a U.S. homebuilder and land developer, selling under Taylor Morrison and Esplanade. In the quarter labeled fiscal Q1 2026, it earned $98.6M on $1.4B of revenue, a 7.11% margin. That is decent, but the supplied growth figures are ugly: revenue -26.84% and profit -53.80%. Housing is cyclical and competitive; I see no durable moat, only scale, land positions, and brand. Financial health is mixed. Debt-to-equity of 0.39 is not alarming, and trailing free cash flow is $687.9M, an 11.2% FCF yield per FairStock. But return on equity is 11.11% and ROCE 6.62%, merely adequate. The Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, weak, and Altman Z-Score 2.86 sits in the grey zone. Valuation is the interesting part. At the 2026-07-23 close of $72.45, FairStock calculates P/E 10.80 and P/B 1.10. Graham Number is $99.85, giving 27.44% margin of safety. EV/EBITDA is 7.66. Those are not demanding multiples if earnings hold. But the stock is near its 52-week high of $72.48 and beta 1.44, so expectations can shift fast. No Peter Lynch category applies because only 0 years of filed results are available, needing 3. I would want evidence that the negative growth is trough-like, not structural. The price already reflects some optimism. I see a statistically cheap, cyclical builder with cash flow but weak momentum and no clear moat.

In plain English: Taylor Morrison builds and sells homes and develops communities in the U.S. Its latest quarter showed a profit, but sales and earnings have been falling and its financial health looks mixed. At $72.45, the shares look cheaper than many companies based on earnings and accounting value, but the stock is near the top of its yearly range and the home building business swings with the economy.

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Data as of 2026-07-23 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer