Timken Company (The) Common Stock (TKR)

FairStock Score: 41/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

Timken is a 19,000-employee industrial manufacturer of engineered bearings and motion products. The numbers do not show a wide-moat franchise. In fiscal 2025, the year ended 2025-12-31, revenue was $4.6B, net income $288.4M, and diluted EPS $4.11. That was down from FY2024 net income of $352.7M and EPS $4.99, and FY2023 net income of $394.1M and EPS $5.47. In fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, revenue was $1.3B but net income fell to $28.9M, or $0.41 per diluted share, versus $78.5M and $1.12 in fiscal Q2 2025. So the trend is not inspiring. FairStock calculates ROE of 8.54% and ROCE of 5.45%, below what I'd want for a durable industrial. Debt/equity is 0.66, Piotroski 6/9, Altman Z 2.54—reasonable but not fortress-like. At $114.27 on 2026-10-13, FairStock's P/E is 30.97, P/B 2.48, FCF yield 4.9%, EV/EBITDA 13.45. Its Graham Number is $61.82, implying the price is about 85% above that value benchmark. The Lynch category is Slow Grower, with profit 0.3% a year over five years and revenue 5.5%. I see a fair business, cyclical and capital-intensive, but the price already assumes better days. I'd need a wider margin of safety.

In plain English: Timken makes engineered bearings and industrial motion parts used in machinery. Sales have been fairly steady, but profits have weakened recently and the returns the business earns on the money it invests are modest. At the recent close, the stock looks expensive compared with the company's earnings, book value, and cash generation.

The full AI analysis, bull and bear case and key monitorables are in FairStock Pro.

Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer