Tavia Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares (TAVI)

FairStock Score: 18/100 — RISKY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

At the close on 2026-10-13, Tavia Acquisition trades at $10.80, giving it a $94.5M market value. It is not an operating company. It was incorporated in 2024 and states it intends to merge with one or more businesses. Therefore, there is no moat to analyze, no pricing power, no customer base, and no durable competitive advantage. The filed figures are sparse and lumpy: fiscal Q2 2025 net income was $645,820; fiscal Q3 2025 net income was $1.0M; FY2025 net income was $3.6M; fiscal Q1 2026 net income was $821,709; and fiscal Q2 2026 was a net loss of $400,069. Those swings look like trust and deal accounting, not operating progress. Trailing free cash flow is negative $483,342, and FairStock calculates ROCE at -1.45%. Piotroski is 1/9, which points to weak financial-signal quality. The valuation metrics are not comforting: FairStock calculates P/E of 72 at the close, a Graham Number of $3.05, and a margin of safety of -254.10%. The FairStock Score is 18/100. An Altman Z-score of 19.18 sounds strong, but for a shell it likely reflects a cash-heavy trust rather than an operating business. Growth is almost impossible to judge because revenue is not reported and the supplied profit growth is -161.95%. The Lynch category is none because only one year of filed results is available; three years are needed. Graham taught me to buy earnings and assets with a margin of safety. Here the price is far above the Graham Number, the business is unproven, and the outcome depends on a future acquisition. That is speculation, not investment, until a real operating record appears.

In plain English: Tavia Acquisition is a shell company with no real business operations; it was formed to find and combine with another company. Its recent filed results swing between small profits and a loss, and it does not report revenue. At the $10.80 close on 2026-10-13, the price looks expensive compared with the limited numbers FairStock can calculate, so this is a speculative deal story rather than a proven business.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer