Schneider National Inc. Common Stock (SNDR)

FairStock Score: 21/100 — RISKY

Key Financials

Strengths

• Generates $26 million in annual free cash flow (0.5% yield on market cap)
• Strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicating robust financial health across profitability, leverage, and efficiency metrics
• Conservative balance sheet with debt-to-equity of just 0.16, providing financial flexibility
• Established organization with 19,000 employees providing operational scale

Concerns

• Trades significantly above Graham Number ($15) with negative 103% margin of safety—limited downside protection

AI Analysis

Schneider National Inc. Common Stock is a small-cap industrials company valued at $5.4 billion. The business generates $5.7 billion in annual revenue with a 0.4% net margin and $26 million in free cash flow. From a quality standpoint, Schneider shows solid Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and Altman Z-Score of 2.7 in the grey zone. On valuation, the stock is commanding a steep 51.1x multiple, with trades far above its Graham Number ($15) with no margin of safety. Growth dynamics show revenue growing at 4.5% and profit growth of -32.2%. The 1.3% dividend yield adds an income component for patient holders. Our composite FairStock Score of 21/100 reflects below-average fundamentals overall. Investors should weigh the business quality against the current price and their own margin of safety requirements.

Bull Case

Improving fundamentals and sector tailwinds could drive meaningful earnings growth, compressing the effective multiple for patient investors. With $26 million in annual free cash flow (0.5% yield), management has ample capital for buybacks, dividends, or accretive acquisitions.

Bear Case

At 51x earnings, any growth disappointment triggers rapid multiple compression—a 20% earnings miss plus multiple contraction to 20x implies 40%+ downside. Regulatory changes, input cost inflation, or demand normalization represent underappreciated risks that could materially impact forward estimates.

Data from SEC filings. AI analysis is for educational purposes only — not investment advice. Scoring methodology · Disclaimer