Sun Country Airlines Holdings Inc. Common Stock (SNCY)

FairStock Score: 45/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I look for a business I can understand, bought at a price that leaves room for error. Sun Country is an airline with passenger, cargo, and charter operations. In fiscal Q1 2026, it earned $24.1 million on $338.4 million of revenue, a 7.12% net margin, so it is profitable. But the supplied profit-growth figure is -34.02%, and returns are modest: FairStock calculates ROE of 8.83% and ROCE of 3.87%. Airlines rarely possess a wide moat; they compete on routes, price, and capacity, and Sun Country’s small scale and $896.6 million market cap do not change that. On financial health, the picture is mixed. Debt-to-equity of 0.95 is substantial, and FairStock’s Altman Z-Score of 0.95 suggests elevated financial risk. Yet trailing free cash flow is $72.2 million, an 8.0% FCF yield, and the Piotroski F-Score is a strong 8/9. The balance sheet and cash generation are therefore not uniformly weak. Valuation is not demanding but not deeply cheap. At the 2026-05-15 close of $16.17, the P/E is 16.84, P/B 1.38, and EV/EBITDA 6.99. FairStock’s Graham Number is $16.21, leaving only 0.25% margin of safety. The FairStock Score is 45/100. No Lynch category is assigned because only 0 years of filed results are available, so historical consistency is hard to judge. Growth is the crux. Revenue growth of 3.59% is modest and profit growth of -34.02% is poor. If cash flow holds and earnings recover, today’s price could prove fair; if profit contraction persists, the low multiple may be a warning. I would need more filed history and durable margins before calling this a comfortable value.

In plain English: Sun Country Airlines runs passenger, cargo, and charter flights. It made a profit in the latest quarter, but profits have been shrinking and the company carries a fair amount of debt. At the current stock price, the shares look roughly in line with the company's numbers, not obviously cheap.

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Data as of 2026-05-15 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer