Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. Common Stock (RRGB)

FairStock Score: 28/100 — RISKY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I start with business quality. Red Robin is a casual dining chain, and I see little durable competitive advantage: burgers and pizza are easily copied, casual dining is intensely competitive, and the company has not earned a profit in fiscal years 2023, 2024, or 2025. In fiscal year 2025 (the year ended 2025-12-28), revenue was $1.2B and net loss was $23.3M; in fiscal year 2024 (the year ended 2024-12-29), net loss was $77.5M; in fiscal year 2023 (the year ended 2023-12-31), net loss was $21.2M. The latest fiscal Q2 2026 (quarter ended 2026-07-12) showed revenue of $277.6M and net income of $386,000, or diluted EPS of $0.02, a tiny margin. That profit was down sharply from $4.0M in fiscal Q2 2025 (quarter ended 2025-07-13). Fiscal Q1 2026 (quarter ended 2026-04-19) lost $2.2M, and fiscal Q3 2025 (quarter ended 2025-10-05) lost $18.4M, so one profitable quarter does not prove a turn. Financial health is stretched: trailing free cash flow is -$1.8M, FairStock's FCF yield is -1.1%, Altman Z-Score is 0.14, and ROCE is 0.98%. The Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 is middling, and the FairStock Score is 28/100. Red Robin has no Peter Lynch category because it lost money in each of the last four years. Valuation offers little comfort. At the 2026-10-13 close of $8.63, market cap is $163.1M, P/E is -5.08 on EPS of -$1.70, and EV/EBITDA is 14.15. A negative-earnings restaurant with negative free cash flow and a 2.49 beta leaves no margin of safety. I would need evidence of sustained profit and positive cash flow before calling it a bargain.

In plain English: Red Robin runs casual dining restaurants, mostly serving burgers and pizza, across North America. The business has been weak: it lost money in each of its last four fiscal years, though the latest quarter was barely profitable. At the close on 2026-10-13, the stock price of $8.63 does not look cheap against the company's weak profits and negative cash flow.

The full AI analysis, bull and bear case and key monitorables are in FairStock Pro.

Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-07-12) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-04-19) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-10-05) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-07-13) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-28) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-29) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer