Riley Exploration Permian Inc. Common Stock (REPX)

Cyclical

FairStock Score: 82/100 — HIGH CONVICTION

Key Financials

Current Price$54.18
Market Cap$1.2B
P/E Ratio9.66
ROE19.94%
Dividend Yield3.67%
SectorEnergy

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I approach Riley Exploration Permian as a cyclical oil and gas producer, not a franchise. It operates in Texas and New Mexico and sells commodities at market prices, so it has little pricing power and no wide moat that I can identify. The reported record is volatile. In fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, revenue was $165.8 million and net income was $87.4 million, or diluted EPS of $4.11. But in fiscal Q1 2026, the quarter ended 2026-03-31, the company lost $70.4 million, or $3.38 per diluted share. For FY2025, the year ended 2025-12-31, revenue was $392.0 million and net income was $160.8 million. That compared with FY2024 revenue of $410.2 million and net income of $88.9 million, and FY2023 revenue of $375.0 million and net income of $111.6 million. So the top line has not grown steadily, and profits swing with the cycle. FairStock classifies it as CYCLICAL — Oil & Gas E&P, and the earnings record supports that. The balance sheet looks moderate, with debt-to-equity of 0.42, positive trailing free cash flow of $53.0 million, and a 3.67% dividend yield. At the 2026-10-13 close of $47.75, FairStock’s calculations show a P/E of 8.51, EV/EBITDA of 4.59, FCF yield of 5.0%, and a Graham Number of $60.04, implying a 20.47% margin of safety. Piotroski is 6/9 and Altman Z is 1.59. That combination is inexpensive on current numbers but not without risk. I would want commodity price strength, stable free cash flow, and debt control to justify the price; without them, the apparent cheapness could be a cyclical trap.

In plain English: Riley Exploration Permian is a small oil and gas producer with properties in Texas and New Mexico. The company is earning good money now and carries moderate debt, but its results are volatile and one recent quarter showed a large loss. The stock looks inexpensive relative to its profits and asset value, though that cheapness comes with the unpredictable swings of the energy business.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer