Radian Group Inc. Common Stock (RDN)

FairStock Score: 70/100 — STEADY

Key Financials

Strengths

• Solid return on equity of 13.2% above cost of capital
• Conservative balance sheet with debt-to-equity of just 0.25, providing financial flexibility
• Healthy net profit margin of 12.9% showing consistent profitability
• Attractive 2.8% dividend yield providing steady income returns
• FairStock composite score of 70/100 places it in the top tier across value, quality, and momentum factors

Concerns

• Revenue declining at 11.8% year-over-year signals potential demand weakness or market share loss
• Altman Z-Score of 1.8 places it in the financial distress zone—elevated bankruptcy risk

AI Analysis

Radian Group Inc. Common Stock is a small-cap financial services company valued at $4.9 billion. The business generates $1.2 billion in annual revenue with a 12.9% net margin. From a quality standpoint, Radian shows distressed Altman Z-Score of 1.8 warrants caution and adequate 13% ROE. On valuation, the stock is deeply undervalued on a P/E basis at 8.2x, with offers a 40% margin of safety vs Graham Number of $59. Growth dynamics show revenue growing at -11.8% and profit growth of 4.4%. The 2.8% dividend yield adds an income component for patient holders. Our composite FairStock Score of 70/100 reflects above-average fundamentals overall. This combination of reasonable valuation, solid returns, and conservative leverage makes it worth a closer look for value-oriented portfolios.

Bull Case

The market underappreciates Radian's consistent 13% ROE at just 8x earnings—a re-rating toward sector peers could unlock 30-50% upside. Operational leverage in the business model means incremental revenue growth could disproportionately boost bottom-line profitability.

Bear Case

Macro headwinds or sector-specific disruption could pressure margins, particularly if competitive intensity increases in the financial services space. Regulatory changes, input cost inflation, or demand normalization represent underappreciated risks that could materially impact forward estimates.

Data from SEC filings. AI analysis is for educational purposes only — not investment advice. Scoring methodology · Disclaimer