Post Holdings Inc. Common Stock (POST)

FairStock Score: 44/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

As a Graham-style investor, I start with price versus reproducible value. At the close on 2026-10-13, Post trades at $76.94, with FairStock calculations showing a P/E of 13.99, P/B of 1.10, and a Graham Number of $92.37, leaving a margin of safety of 16.70%. The market cap is $3.4B. The business is a packaged-foods holding company with cereal, peanut butter, pet food, and refrigerated brands. Its segments provide some defensive stability, and the low beta of 0.31 supports that. Cash generation is the strongest feature: trailing free cash flow is $553.1M, a 16.4% FCF yield. Yet the latest filed results show pressure. In fiscal Q3 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, revenue was $1.9B, net income $63.4M, and diluted EPS $1.29, versus fiscal Q3 2025 revenue $2.0B, net income $108.8M, and diluted EPS $1.79. For FY2025, revenue was $8.2B, net income $335.7M, and diluted EPS $5.51. The balance sheet worries me: debt-to-equity is 2.47, Altman Z-score is 0.75, and Piotroski is 4/9. ROCE of 4.19% and ROE of 8.28% are modest. FairStock's Lynch rule calls it a FAST GROWER because profit grew 234.6% a year over five years and revenue 11.6%, but the recent profit decline challenges that label. At 7.77 EV/EBITDA, the price is not demanding, but weak momentum and leverage mean the cheapness requires verification.

In plain English: Post Holdings makes packaged foods such as cereals, peanut butter, pet food, and refrigerated products. Sales have slipped and profits have fallen from a year earlier, even though it still produces a lot of cash and trades below its accounting value. Compared with its current numbers, the stock looks inexpensive, but the business has weak recent momentum.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q3 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2025-12-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-09-30) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-09-30) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-09-30)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer