PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust 9.00% Senior Notes due 2030 (PMTV)
TurnaroundKey Financials
| Current Price | $25.29 |
| Market Cap | $2.2B |
| P/E Ratio | — |
| ROE | —% |
| Dividend Yield | —% |
| Sector | Real Estate |
AI Analysis
AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.
I approach PMTV not as a stock but as a loan I would be making. The issuer has reported net income in every period I was given: $199.7 million in fiscal 2023, $161.0 million in fiscal 2024, $127.9 million in fiscal 2025, $24.6 million in fiscal Q1 2026 and $30.9 million in fiscal Q2 2026. That is a real business earning real money, and my claim as a senior noteholder sits ahead of the common and preferred equity. The coupon is 9.00% and the price is $25.02 against $25 par — essentially par, so roughly an 8.99% current yield, no premium to lose, and a maturity in 2030. But the direction of those earnings troubles me. Profit has fallen every year, and the first half of 2026 runs at about $111 million annualized, a shrinking base behind a fixed obligation. Fiscal Q2 2025 is the tell: $7.5 million of net income produced diluted EPS of -$0.04, which says distributions ranking ahead of the common consumed nearly everything. Coverage can thin quickly in a mortgage-finance model. I have no balance sheet, no leverage ratio, no interest-coverage figure and no book value in front of me. Graham would say I cannot compute a margin of safety without them. The 9% coupon is the market's price for that uncertainty, and a price at the very bottom of the $24.97–$25.87 range is not a compliment. FairStock's computed Lynch category for the issuer is TURNAROUND. I would want the leverage arithmetic before calling 9% adequate compensation.
In plain English: PMTV is a bond-like investment: it pays a fixed 9% yearly interest and is owed its money back in 2030 by PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust, a real estate lender. The parent company has made a profit in every period shown, but those profits have shrunk from about $200 million in fiscal 2023 to a pace near $111 million in the first half of 2026. At $25.02 the note sells for right about its $25 face value, so the price looks fair rather than cheap — the return comes from the interest payments, not from price gains.
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Data as of 2026-10-16 close · note generated 2026-10-20 · model deepseek-flash
Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)
Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer