Performance Food Group Company Common Stock (PFGC)

FairStock Score: 37/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

Mr. Market is asking $94.68 at the close on 2026-10-13 for a $14.9B slice of Performance Food Group, a food distributor serving restaurants, convenience stores, and specialty customers. The business is easy to understand, and scale in distribution matters. But this is a fiercely competitive, low-margin field: the latest reported quarter carried a 0.90% net margin, while FairStock calculates ROE at 7.67%, ROCE at 3.02%, and D/E at 1.59. Those are not the numbers of a wide-moat compounder. The balance sheet deserves respect: Altman Z-Score is 1.97, and Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Cash generation is real, with $1.0B of trailing free cash flow and a 6.8% FCF yield. Filed annual figures show solid top-line progress: in fiscal 2024, the year ended 2024-06-29, revenue was $58.3B; in fiscal 2025, the year ended 2025-06-28, revenue was $63.3B; and in fiscal 2026, the year ended 2026-06-27, revenue was $67.8B. Profits, however, have been uneven: net income was $435.9M and EPS $2.79 in fiscal 2024, $340.2M and $2.18 in fiscal 2025, and $359.3M and $2.29 in fiscal 2026. FairStock labels it a FAST GROWER on five-year profit growth of 54.6% annually and revenue growth of 17.4%, but the recent record is lumpy. Valuation is demanding: P/E 41.34, P/B 3.02, PEG 1.77, EV/EBITDA 13.19, and Graham Number $40.22, a -135.41% margin of safety. FairStock Score is 37/100. I would need better returns on capital, lower leverage, and a wider margin of safety before calling this compelling.

In plain English: Performance Food Group distributes food and related supplies to restaurants, stores, and convenience locations across North America. Sales are growing and cash flow is solid, but profit margins are very thin and the company carries a fair amount of debt. At the recent stock price, the shares look expensive compared with the company's earnings and accounting value.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q3 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-28) · fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2025-12-27) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-27) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-03-29) · FY2026 10-K (period ended 2026-06-27) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-06-28) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-06-29)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer