Pedevco Corp. Common Stock (PED)

FairStock Score: 52/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

As a value investor, I start with business quality. PEDEVCO is a tiny oil and gas producer—25 employees—selling commodities, so it has no real pricing power or moat. At the close on 2026-10-13, the shares were $13.25, market cap $176.1M. FairStock calculations show P/B 0.88, trailing P/E -4.94 on EPS -$2.68, ROE -10.60%, ROCE 5.57%, D/E 0.43, and EV/EBITDA 8.18. TTM free cash flow is $31.1M, a 17.7% FCF yield. Piotroski F-Score is strong at 8/9, but Altman Z-Score is 0.40, a clear distress warning. The filed numbers are volatile. Fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, had revenue $46.1M, net income $17.5M, diluted EPS $1.31. Fiscal Q1 2026, ended 2026-03-31, had revenue $40.2M, net loss $25.6M, diluted EPS -$3.28. FY2025, ended 2025-12-31, revenue was $45.8M and net loss $10.4M, diluted EPS -$2.25, after FY2024 net income $12.3M and diluted EPS $2.76. FairStock labels it a TURNAROUND—loss in latest year after earlier profits. The high FCF yield and sub-book P/B offer a margin of safety, but one good quarter does not prove durable earnings. Oil prices, depletion, and a low Altman score keep this speculative. I would need consistent FCF and a stronger balance sheet before calling it a stable value.

In plain English: PEDEVCO is a small oil and gas producer that buys and develops wells in the United States. The business has swung between losses and profits, but its latest reported quarter was profitable and it generates a lot of cash compared with its market value. At $13.25, the price looks cheap compared with its asset value and cash generation, but the uneven profit history makes it risky.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K/A (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer