Origin Materials Inc. Common Stock (ORGN)

FairStock Score: 37/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I look for a business with a durable competitive advantage, conservative finances, and a price below intrinsic value. From the supplied figures, Origin Materials is a PET closures company with 98 employees. In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, revenue was $477,000 and net income was -$17.6 million, a -3,700.21% margin. The supplied revenue-growth figure is -91.22%, so the top line has collapsed. Trailing free cash flow is -$59.4 million, and FairStock calculates FCF yield of -485.6% using the 2026-07-15 close. That is heavy cash consumption for a company with a $12.2 million market cap. At $0.95 on 2026-07-15, FairStock P/B is 0.06 and P/E is -0.02. A low P/B can hint at asset value, but ROE of -119.58%, ROCE of -16.52%, and an Altman Z-Score of -3.13 show those assets are producing losses and balance-sheet risk is high. Debt/equity of 0.26 is not extreme, but equity is being eroded by losses. The Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and the FairStock Score is 37/100. I cannot identify a durable moat from these numbers. PET closures may require technical know-how, but a 91.22% revenue decline suggests weak commercial traction or pricing power. The Lynch category is none because only 0 year of filed results is available, while 3 are needed. Growth is negative, and profits are negative. A statistically cheap price is not a margin of safety if the business burns cash and lacks a clear earnings engine.

In plain English: Origin Materials makes PET closures, which are caps and closing products for bottles and containers. The business looks weak: its latest quarter had very little revenue and a large loss, and it is burning cash. The share price looks very low compared with the accounting value of its assets, but because the company is losing money and shrinking, the low price may not be a true bargain.

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Data as of 2026-07-15 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer