NorthWestern Energy Group Inc. Common Stock (NWE)

FairStock Score: 41/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I look for a durable business bought at a sensible price. NorthWestern Energy is a regulated electric and natural gas utility, which gives it a local monopoly and predictable demand. Yet the financials show a business that is not earning much on capital. In fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, revenue was $392.6M, net income $25.0M, and diluted EPS $0.40. For fiscal 2025, the year ended 2025-12-31, revenue was $1.6B, net income $181.1M, and diluted EPS $2.94. That is below fiscal 2024 net income of $224.1M and diluted EPS of $3.65, though above fiscal 2023 net income of $194.1M and diluted EPS of $3.22. FairStock calls it a SLOW GROWER — Shrinking: profit -0.8% a year over four years, revenue 5.0%. Returns are weak: ROE 5.93%, ROCE 2.48%, D/E 1.24. Trailing free cash flow is -$192.2M and FCF yield is -4.2%. At the 2026-10-13 close of $75.26, FairStock shows P/E 27.17, P/B 1.60, PEG 1.53, EV/EBITDA 13.87, Graham Number $54.16, and margin of safety -38.96%. The 3.92% dividend and 0.36 beta offer defense, and Piotroski is 5/9, but Altman Z 0.68 warns on balance-sheet risk. FairStock Score is 41/100. A regulated utility can be a fine holding, but only if the price leaves room for error. Here the numbers suggest the price already reflects better days.

In plain English: NorthWestern Energy supplies electricity and natural gas to homes and businesses. It is a steady regulated utility, but profits have been uneven and it is currently spending more cash than it brings in. At $75.26, the shares look expensive compared with the company's earnings and the value of its assets, though the dividend payment is nearly 4% of the share price.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q4 2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer