NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. Common Stock (NREF)

Stalwart

FairStock Score: 85/100 — HIGH CONVICTION

Key Financials

Current Price$15.61
Market Cap$294M
P/E Ratio6.67
ROE14.87%
Dividend Yield12.29%
SectorReal Estate

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I approach NexPoint Real Estate Finance as a lender, not as an operating compounder. It originates and holds first-lien mortgages, mezzanine debt, preferred equity and CMBS, so its fortunes turn on credit and the cost of borrowed money. The filed figures show net income of $17.3 million in fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, and $22.6 million in fiscal Q1 2026, the quarter ended 2026-03-31. For FY2025, the year ended 2025-12-31, net income was $123.1 million and diluted EPS $2.85, versus $36.0 million and $1.02 in FY2024, the year ended 2024-12-31, and $18.7 million and $0.60 in FY2023, the year ended 2023-12-31. That is dramatic growth, but it is lumpy and may reflect mark-to-market or securitization gains. Revenue is not shown in the filed figures provided, so I cannot verify top-line quality. FairStock's Lynch category calls it a stalwart with 29.2% annual profit growth over five years. At the 2026-10-13 close of $15.25, FairStock calculates a P/E of 6.52, P/B of 0.76 and PEG of 0.10. A 12.29% dividend yield is enticing. But leverage is heavy at D/E 5.19. FairStock also reports ROE 14.87%, ROCE 2.13%, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9. For a financial firm, I want CET1, net interest margin and credit-loss data; they are not in the data, nor is a combined ratio. The discount to book may be justified if credit or funding deteriorates. A cheap mortgage REIT can be a value trap when leverage is high. I would demand a margin of safety through asset quality and conservative financing, not just the yield.

In plain English: NexPoint Real Estate Finance is a real estate lender and investor. It makes money from mortgage loans, preferred equity and property-related securities. The company has been profitable, and the shares look cheap compared with its stated net assets and earnings, but it uses a lot of borrowed money and a financial quality score is weak, so the low-looking price comes with real risk.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer