National Fuel Gas Company Common Stock (NFG)

FairStock Score: 72/100 — STEADY

Key Financials

Strengths

• Strong Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicating robust financial health across profitability, leverage, and efficiency metrics
• High return on equity of 20.7% demonstrating efficient capital deployment
• Revenue growth of 18.6% demonstrates strong top-line momentum
• Attractive 2.5% dividend yield providing steady income returns
• FairStock composite score of 72/100 places it in the top tier across value, quality, and momentum factors

Concerns

• Altman Z-Score of 1.3 places it in the financial distress zone—elevated bankruptcy risk

AI Analysis

National Fuel Gas Company Common Stock is a small-cap energy company valued at $8.4 billion. The business generates $2.4 billion in annual revenue with a 7.6% net margin. From a quality standpoint, National shows near-perfect Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicating exceptional financial health and distressed Altman Z-Score of 1.3 warrants caution. On valuation, the stock is attractively valued at 12.4x earnings, with trades above its Graham Number with a negative 13% margin. Growth dynamics show revenue growing at 18.6% and profit growth of 303.8%. The 2.5% dividend yield adds an income component for patient holders. Our composite FairStock Score of 72/100 reflects above-average fundamentals overall. This combination of reasonable valuation, solid returns, and conservative leverage makes it worth a closer look for value-oriented portfolios.

Bull Case

National's 19% revenue growth trajectory could accelerate as it captures additional market share in the energy sector. Operational leverage in the business model means incremental revenue growth could disproportionately boost bottom-line profitability.

Bear Case

Macro headwinds or sector-specific disruption could pressure margins, particularly if competitive intensity increases in the energy space. Regulatory changes, input cost inflation, or demand normalization represent underappreciated risks that could materially impact forward estimates.

Data from SEC filings. AI analysis is for educational purposes only — not investment advice. Scoring methodology · Disclaimer