Murphy Oil Corporation Common Stock (MUR)

FairStock Score: 21/100 — RISKY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I look at Murphy Oil as a cyclical oil and gas producer, not a franchise with pricing power. It explores for and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States, Canada, and internationally. In fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue was $926.3M and net income was $232.2M, a 25.06% margin. That is a sharp improvement from fiscal Q3 2025, the quarter ended September 30, 2025, when net income was -$3.0M, and fiscal Q4 2025, the quarter ended December 31, 2025, when net income was $11.9M. Still, for fiscal 2025, the year ended December 31, 2025, revenue was $2.7B and net income $104.2M, down from fiscal 2024 revenue of $3.0B and net income of $407.2M, and well below fiscal 2023 net income of $661.6M. That is the cycle talking. The balance sheet shows debt/equity of 0.42, and FairStock’s Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, but FairStock’s Altman Z-Score of 1.81 warrants caution. Returns are modest: FairStock ROE 6.46% and ROCE 3.33%. At the 2026-10-13 close, price was $39.04; FairStock calculates P/B 1.06, EV/EBITDA 4.53, FCF yield 5.5%, dividend yield 3.74%, P/E 19.33, Graham Number $40.84, and margin of safety 4.41%. The Lynch category is CYCLICAL — Oil & Gas E&P: earnings follow the economic cycle. I prefer such businesses when they sell below asset value and normalized earnings are clearly depressed. Here, asset value is close, but returns and the profit trend do not yet offer a wide margin of safety.

In plain English: Murphy Oil is a small energy company that finds and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the U.S., Canada, and other countries. Its profits move up and down with energy prices: the latest filed quarter was strong, but the last full year’s profit was much lower than the year before. At $39.04 on 2026-10-13, the shares look roughly fair against the company’s assets and earnings, not clearly cheap or expensive.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q4 2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-K (period ended 2025-09-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer