Vail Resorts Inc. Common Stock (MTN)

FairStock Score: 39/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I start with the business: Vail operates mountain resorts and regional ski areas, plus lodging and real estate. The assets can be attractive, but the numbers are not. In fiscal 2026, the year ended 2026-07-31, revenue was $2.8B, net income $147.5M, and diluted EPS $4.12. That is below fiscal 2025, the year ended 2025-07-31, when revenue was $3.0B, net income $280.0M, and diluted EPS $7.53. The fiscal Q3 2026 quarter ended 2026-04-30 was seasonally strong—revenue $1.2B, net income $314.4M, diluted EPS $8.81—but it did not prevent a weak full year. FairStock classifies it as a SLOW GROWER, citing 2.9% annual profit growth and 8.2% revenue growth over five years. Financial health is mixed: ROE 16.85%, but ROCE only 4.86%, debt-to-equity 3.56, Altman Z-Score 1.37, and the FairStock Score is 39/100. Free cash flow is positive at $173.5M, but the 3.2% FCF yield is modest against a 6.35% dividend yield. At the 2026-10-13 close of $152.57, FairStock's P/E is 32.88, P/B is 9.86, and the Graham Number is $40.20, implying a -279.53% margin of safety. The low beta of 0.70 and 6.35% yield have appeal, and Piotroski is 6/9, but I see a leveraged, cyclical resort operator with falling full-year profits and a price that already assumes better days. I would want evidence of stabilizing earnings and debt reduction before calling it a value opportunity.

In plain English: Vail Resorts runs ski mountains and lodging at resorts in the United States and internationally. In its latest full fiscal year, sales and profit fell, and the company uses a lot of debt. Compared with its earnings and accounting value, the recent share price looks expensive.

The full AI analysis, bull and bear case and key monitorables are in FairStock Pro.

Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q3 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-04-30) · fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-01-31) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2025-10-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-04-30) · FY2026 10-K (period ended 2026-07-31) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-07-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-07-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer