Midland States Bancorp Inc. Common Stock (MSBI)

FairStock Score: 31/100 — RISKY

Key Financials

Strengths

• Attractive 4.7% dividend yield providing steady income returns

Concerns

• Currently unprofitable—sustained losses could lead to dilutive capital raises or balance sheet deterioration
• Revenue declining at 56.5% year-over-year signals potential demand weakness or market share loss
• Weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 suggests deteriorating financial quality across multiple dimensions
• Altman Z-Score of 0.1 places it in the financial distress zone—elevated bankruptcy risk

AI Analysis

Midland States Bancorp Inc. Common Stock is a micro-cap financial services company valued at $497 million. Revenue stands at $274 million, though the company is currently unprofitable. From a quality standpoint, Midland shows weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signaling deteriorating fundamentals and distressed Altman Z-Score of 0.1 warrants caution. On valuation, the stock is reasonably priced at 22.1x earnings, with a modest 14% margin of safety vs Graham Number. Growth dynamics show revenue growing at -56.5% and profit growth of -170.7%. The 4.7% dividend yield adds an income component for patient holders. Our composite FairStock Score of 31/100 reflects below-average fundamentals overall. Without profitability, this remains speculative—suitable only for those with high risk tolerance and a long time horizon.

Bull Case

Improving fundamentals and sector tailwinds could drive meaningful earnings growth, compressing the effective multiple for patient investors. Operational leverage in the business model means incremental revenue growth could disproportionately boost bottom-line profitability.

Bear Case

Without a clear path to profitability, continued cash burn forces either dilutive equity raises or debt accumulation that destroys shareholder value. Regulatory changes, input cost inflation, or demand normalization represent underappreciated risks that could materially impact forward estimates.

Data from SEC filings. AI analysis is for educational purposes only — not investment advice. Scoring methodology · Disclaimer