Main Street Capital Corporation Common Stock (MAIN)

Stalwart

FairStock Score: 68/100 — STEADY

Key Financials

Current Price$53.34
Market Cap$5.0B
P/E Ratio10.71
ROE14.92%
Dividend Yield5.66%
SectorFinancial Services

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

As a value investor, I start with what Main Street actually is: a business development company that lends to and invests in lower middle market companies. It is not an industrial compounder but a credit shop with 110 employees. In fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, the company reported net income of $147.6M, up from $122.5M in fiscal Q2 2025, the quarter ended 2025-06-30. That is a strong three-month result. Yet the annual picture is uneven: net income was $493.4M in FY2025, the fiscal year ended 2025-12-31, compared with $508.1M in FY2024, the fiscal year ended 2024-12-31, and diluted EPS was $3.95 versus $3.93. FY2023, the fiscal year ended 2023-12-31, showed net income of $428.4M and diluted EPS of $4.04. So the growth is not a straight line. FairStock classifies it as a STALWART based on 75.8% annual profit growth over five years, but I would not confuse that with a wide moat. The balance sheet has D/E of 0.80, ROE of 14.92%, ROCE of 5.57%, a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and an Altman Z-Score of 1.24. Free cash flow is negative at -$149.8M, which is common for a BDC funding investments but still requires monitoring. On valuation, at the $53.77 close on 2026-10-13, FairStock's P/E is 10.80 and P/B is 1.59. Its Graham Number is $61.65, implying a 12.78% margin of safety. The 5.66% dividend yield and low beta of 0.73 add appeal. I see a reasonably priced, income-oriented financial company with decent returns but limited margin for credit error.

In plain English: Main Street Capital lends to and invests in smaller private businesses. The latest reported quarter was strong, but the full-year profit trend has been uneven and cash flow was negative. At $53.77, the price looks fair to modestly cheap compared with its calculated fair-value numbers.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer