Macy's Inc Common Stock (M)

FairStock Score: 69/100 — STEADY

Key Financials

Strengths

• Generates $434 million in annual free cash flow (8.2% yield on market cap)
• Strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicating robust financial health across profitability, leverage, and efficiency metrics
• Solid return on equity of 13.6% above cost of capital
• Attractive 3.8% dividend yield providing steady income returns
• Established organization with 90,134 employees providing operational scale

Concerns

• Revenue declining at 1.1% year-over-year signals potential demand weakness or market share loss
• Altman Z-Score of 1.7 places it in the financial distress zone—elevated bankruptcy risk

AI Analysis

Macy's Inc Common Stock is a small-cap consumer cyclical company valued at $5.3 billion. The business generates $22.6 billion in annual revenue with a 2.2% net margin and $434 million in free cash flow. From a quality standpoint, Macy's shows solid Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and distressed Altman Z-Score of 1.7 warrants caution. On valuation, the stock is deeply undervalued on a P/E basis at 8.7x, with offers a 35% margin of safety vs Graham Number of $31. Growth dynamics show revenue growing at -1.1% and profit growth of 48.3%. The 3.8% dividend yield adds an income component for patient holders. Our composite FairStock Score of 69/100 reflects above-average fundamentals overall. Investors should weigh the business quality against the current price and their own margin of safety requirements.

Bull Case

The market underappreciates Macy's's consistent 14% ROE at just 9x earnings—a re-rating toward sector peers could unlock 30-50% upside. With $434 million in annual free cash flow (8.2% yield), management has ample capital for buybacks, dividends, or accretive acquisitions.

Bear Case

Macro headwinds or sector-specific disruption could pressure margins, particularly if competitive intensity increases in the consumer cyclical space. Regulatory changes, input cost inflation, or demand normalization represent underappreciated risks that could materially impact forward estimates.

Data from SEC filings. AI analysis is for educational purposes only — not investment advice. Scoring methodology · Disclaimer