LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB)

FairStock Score: 64/100 — STEADY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I approach LyondellBasell as a cyclical chemical maker, not a franchise with a wide moat. It has scale, five operating segments and a technology business, but its products are largely commodities; pricing power is limited and results swing with the cycle. The filed numbers tell the story: in fiscal 2025 the company earned revenue of $30.2B but lost $738.0M, or $2.34 per diluted share, after earning $1.4B in fiscal 2024. The third quarter of fiscal 2025 alone showed a $890.0M loss. Then the latest quarter, fiscal Q2 2026, produced revenue of $9.2B, net income of $559.0M and diluted EPS of $1.71, a sharp rebound from $125.0M in fiscal Q1 2026. That is the turnaround pattern FairStock labels: loss in the latest year after earlier profits. Financial health is the weak spot: debt-to-equity is 1.33 and the Altman Z-score of 1.41 is below the safe zone, though the Piotroski F-score of 8/9 is strong and trailing free cash flow of $1.6B gives a 7.3% FCF yield. At the $67.35 close on 2026-10-26, the negative trailing EPS makes the P/E meaningless; the P/B of 2.04 and EV/EBITDA of 17.32 do not scream cheap for a commodity chemical company at a possible cycle trough. The 4.46% dividend is attractive only if cash flow holds. I would want proof that Q2 2026 is a durable recovery, not a bounce.

In plain English: LyondellBasell makes chemicals and plastics used in everyday products and industrial goods. The business looks mixed: it lost money in fiscal 2025 but earned a solid profit in the latest quarter, and cash flow is positive. At $67.35, the price looks fair to slightly expensive against those uneven results, not a clear bargain.

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Data as of 2026-10-26 close · note generated 2026-10-28 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer