LiveWire Group Inc. Common Stock (LVWR)

FairStock Score: 31/100 — RISKY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

As a Buffett-and-Graham-style investor, I start with durable earning power and a margin of safety, and LiveWire shows neither today. The business sells electric motorcycles and kids' balance bikes, but in fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, revenue was $9.1 million and net income was -$18.2 million, a -199.81% net margin. The annual record is also weak: FY2023 revenue was $38.0 million with a net loss of $109.5 million; FY2024 revenue was $26.6 million with a net loss of $93.9 million; FY2025 revenue was $25.7 million with a net loss of $75.1 million. Losses are narrowing, but the company has lost money in each of the last four years, so FairStock assigns no Peter Lynch category. Trailing free cash flow is -$50.9 million, a -15.9% FCF yield. FairStock also lists debt-to-equity of 6.49, an Altman Z-Score of -2.03, and a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, which suggests financial stress. At the 2026-10-13 close of $1.56, FairStock calculates a -4.33 P/E and 26.00 P/B; the $320.4 million market cap looks high against FY2025 revenue of $25.7 million and no profit. The one bright spot is growth: FairStock reports 55.20% revenue growth, and fiscal Q2 2026 revenue of $9.1 million rose from $5.9 million in fiscal Q2 2025. But growth without profits and cash generation is not a moat. I would need evidence of durable competitive advantage, lower cash burn, and a real path to owner earnings before considering the price attractive.

In plain English: LiveWire makes electric motorcycles and electric balance bikes for kids. The business is still very small and unprofitable: it lost money in each of the last four years, and in the quarter ended 2026-06-30 it lost $18.2 million on $9.1 million of sales. At $1.56 a share, the price looks expensive against those weak numbers.

The full AI analysis, bull and bear case and key monitorables are in FairStock Pro.

Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer