Kernex Microsys. (KERNEX)

Cyclical

FairStock Score: 46/100 — MIXED

Score breakdown: P/E: 0/3 · ROCE: 1/2 · Growth: 0/2 · Dividend: 0/1

Key Financials

Current Price₹2,024.2
Market Cap₹3,401.39 Cr
P/E Ratio38.46
ROCE23.76%
ROE36.51%
Dividend Yield0%
Profit Growth999%
Debt/Equity0.66
Sales Growth832.27%
Promoter Holding28.9%
52-Week Range₹850 — ₹2,580
SectorTransport Services
Book Value₹147.91

Strengths

Concerns

AI Analysis

At ₹1,274.55, the market is asking me to pay ₹1,811 crore for Kernex Microsys. That is 34.4 times trailing earnings and 16.49 times book value. Book value is only ₹77.31. I cannot find a margin of safety in that price. The returns on capital look remarkable — ROE of 36.51% and ROCE of 23.76% — but those are historical returns on a small equity base. For an owner buying today, the earnings yield is under 3%, before considering any further margin pressure. The growth story excites the market: sales grew 97.23%. But profit fell 15.88%. That is the single most important red flag. Revenue without profit is not value creation. The latest quarter reinforces my worry: sales ₹73 crore, net profit only ₹6 crore. That is an 8.2% net margin, and if annualised, the profit would be roughly ₹24 crore — well below the trailing earnings that justify the current P/E. The Piotroski F-score of 4/9 also tells me the financial health is mediocre, not brilliant. Debt-to-equity of 0.51 is acceptable, but no dividend and only 28.90% promoter holding means I am relying on a management team whose own stake is not large. The advertised PEG of 0.35 is misleading: it appears to use sales growth, not the negative earnings growth. I ignore it. This looks like a cyclical, project-driven transport business enjoying a surge of revenue but failing to convert it into owner earnings. There is no clear moat visible in these numbers. A good business, in Graham's language, must also have conservative financing and reliable profits. I need proof that margins recover and that the order book translates into earnings. Until then, I pass.

Data from BSE/NSE filings. AI analysis is for educational purposes only — not investment advice. Scoring methodology · Disclaimer