Kernex Microsys. (KERNEX)
CyclicalFairStock Score: 46/100 — MIXED
Score breakdown: P/E: 0/3 · ROCE: 1/2 · Growth: 0/2 · Dividend: 0/1
Key Financials
| Current Price | ₹2,024.2 |
| Market Cap | ₹3,401.39 Cr |
| P/E Ratio | 38.46 |
| ROCE | 23.76% |
| ROE | 36.51% |
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
| Profit Growth | 999% |
| Debt/Equity | 0.66 |
| Sales Growth | 832.27% |
| Promoter Holding | 28.9% |
| 52-Week Range | ₹850 — ₹2,580 |
| Sector | Transport Services |
| Book Value | ₹147.91 |
Strengths
- Revenue momentum is strong; sales grew 97.23%, indicating surging demand.
- High capital productivity: ROE of 36.51% and ROCE of 23.76%.
- Manageable leverage: Debt/Equity of 0.51 is not excessive.
- Latest quarter sales of ₹73 Cr show the business is still generating meaningful activity.
Concerns
- Profit growth is -15.88% despite 97.23% sales growth, pointing to serious margin compression.
- Valuation is rich: P/E of 34.40 and P/B of 16.49 against book value of ₹77.31 leave little margin of safety.
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and latest quarterly profit of just ₹6 Cr on ₹73 Cr sales raise doubts about earnings quality.
- Promoter holding of only 28.90% and zero dividend reduce minority-shareholder alignment.
AI Analysis
At ₹1,274.55, the market is asking me to pay ₹1,811 crore for Kernex Microsys. That is 34.4 times trailing earnings and 16.49 times book value. Book value is only ₹77.31. I cannot find a margin of safety in that price. The returns on capital look remarkable — ROE of 36.51% and ROCE of 23.76% — but those are historical returns on a small equity base. For an owner buying today, the earnings yield is under 3%, before considering any further margin pressure. The growth story excites the market: sales grew 97.23%. But profit fell 15.88%. That is the single most important red flag. Revenue without profit is not value creation. The latest quarter reinforces my worry: sales ₹73 crore, net profit only ₹6 crore. That is an 8.2% net margin, and if annualised, the profit would be roughly ₹24 crore — well below the trailing earnings that justify the current P/E. The Piotroski F-score of 4/9 also tells me the financial health is mediocre, not brilliant. Debt-to-equity of 0.51 is acceptable, but no dividend and only 28.90% promoter holding means I am relying on a management team whose own stake is not large. The advertised PEG of 0.35 is misleading: it appears to use sales growth, not the negative earnings growth. I ignore it. This looks like a cyclical, project-driven transport business enjoying a surge of revenue but failing to convert it into owner earnings. There is no clear moat visible in these numbers. A good business, in Graham's language, must also have conservative financing and reliable profits. I need proof that margins recover and that the order book translates into earnings. Until then, I pass.
Data from BSE/NSE filings. AI analysis is for educational purposes only — not investment advice. Scoring methodology · Disclaimer