JAKKS Pacific Inc. Common Stock (JAKK)

FairStock Score: 46/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

As a value investor, I start with the business. JAKKS Pacific sells toys and costumes, much of it tied to licensed characters. That can be a decent niche, but it is not a wide-moat business; fads and license renewals drive results. The filed numbers show why I am cautious. In fiscal 2025, revenue was $570.7 million with net income of $9.9 million and diluted EPS of $0.86. That is down sharply from fiscal 2024: $691.0 million revenue, $33.9 million net income, and $3.14 EPS, and from fiscal 2023: $711.6 million revenue, $38.4 million net income, and $3.48 EPS. The Lynch category computed by FairStock labels it a SLOW GROWER — Shrinking, with profit down 52.4% a year over three years and revenue down 10.5%. There is a recent flicker: in the quarter ended 2026-06-30, revenue was $139.2 million and net income $5.9 million, or $0.49 EPS, versus $119.1 million revenue and a $2.3 million loss in the quarter ended 2025-06-30. But the quarter ended 2026-03-31 still lost $4.3 million, so results are lumpy. Financial health is mixed: debt to equity is only 0.19, and trailing free cash flow is $35.4 million, an 11.0% FCF yield by FairStock's calculation. Yet ROE is 6.67%, ROCE 2.12%, Piotroski 5/9, and Altman Z-Score 1.44. At the 2026-10-13 close of $28.08, FairStock calculations show P/E 19.91, P/B 1.30, and EV/EBITDA 8.70. The Graham Number is $26.21, leaving a -7.13% margin of safety. I want more consistency before paying up.

In plain English: JAKKS Pacific makes toys, costumes, and other consumer products, often tied to licensed characters. The business looks mixed: sales and profit fell sharply from fiscal 2023 to fiscal 2025, but the latest quarter showed a rebound. At $28.08 on 2026-10-13, the stock is near the top of its 52-week range and looks full rather than cheap compared with its recent earnings and asset value.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer