Hertz Global Holdings Inc Common Stock (HTZ)

FairStock Score: 28/100 — RISKY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

As a Buffett-and-Graham-style investor, I see Hertz as a cyclical rental-car operator with recognized brands—Hertz, Dollar, Thrifty—and 26,000 employees. The filed record is volatile: FY2023 net income was $616.0M and EPS $1.39; FY2024 swung to a net loss of $2.9B and EPS $-9.34; FY2025 still lost $747.0M, or EPS $-2.43. In fiscal Q1 2026, the quarter ended 2026-03-31, the filed net loss was $333.0M and EPS $-1.06, though fiscal Q3 2025, ended 2025-09-30, showed net income of $184.0M and EPS $0.42. That tells me the business can earn in good quarters but has no durable moat against fleet costs, pricing, and capital intensity. Financial health is the crux: trailing free cash flow is -$10.2B, a FairStock FCF yield of -1680% on a $606.3M market cap, and the Altman Z-score is -0.12, a distress warning. At the $1.92 close on 2026-10-13, the FairStock P/E is -1.76; EV/EBITDA is 7.08, which only looks reasonable if EBITDA is durable. The Piotroski F-score of 8/9 suggests improving accounting signals, and the Lynch category is TURNAROUND—loss in the latest year after earlier profits. But a FairStock score of 28/100 and no dividend leave me without a margin of safety. I would want steady positive free cash flow and a repaired balance sheet before calling this a value opportunity.

In plain English: Hertz rents cars under Hertz, Dollar, and Thrifty around the world. The business has lost money in recent yearly filings, and its cash flow has been deeply negative, so it looks financially weak. The stock price is far below its 52-week high, but with losses and negative cash flow it is hard to call the price a safe bargain.

The full AI analysis, bull and bear case and key monitorables are in FairStock Pro.

Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-03-31) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer