Hillman Solutions Corp. Common Stock (HLMN)

FairStock Score: 44/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I approach Hillman as a Graham-style asset buyer and a Buffett-style judge of business quality. Hillman sells mostly unglamorous hardware and merchandising services—automotive parts, clamps, fasteners, electrical components—where scale and retail relationships can help, but true pricing power is hard to prove. The filed record shows a turnaround: in fiscal 2023, the year ended 2023-12-30, net income was a loss of $9.6 million and diluted EPS was -$0.05. In fiscal 2024, the year ended 2024-12-28, revenue was $1.5 billion and net income was $17.3 million, or $0.09 per diluted share. In fiscal 2025, the year ended 2025-12-27, revenue was $1.6 billion and net income was $40.3 million, or $0.20 per diluted share. The latest filed quarter, fiscal Q2 2026 ended 2026-06-27, had revenue of $442.3 million and net income of $21.1 million, or $0.11 per diluted share, up from revenue of $402.8 million and net income of $15.8 million in fiscal Q2 2025, the quarter ended 2025-06-28. But fiscal Q1 2026, the quarter ended 2026-03-28, had a net loss of $4.7 million, so progress is lumpy. FairStock’s calculations at the 2026-10-13 close of $7.10 show a P/E of 35.50, P/B of 1.13, ROE of 3.39%, ROCE of 2.87%, debt-to-equity of 0.65, FCF yield of 4.4%, Graham Number of $5.32, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, Altman Z-Score of 1.08, and EV/EBITDA of 8.35. Positive trailing free cash flow of $61.1 million is real, but returns on capital are slim and the Altman score hints at balance-sheet fragility. The price is 33.46% above the Graham Number, so I see no margin of safety. FairStock labels it a TURNAROUND—returned to profit after a loss within the last three years—and the numbers support that, but this is a modest turnaround, not a bargain.

In plain English: Hillman makes and sells hardware items, tools and related store-merchandising services. The company is back to making a profit and generates cash, but its profits are thin and it earns little on the money invested in the business. At $7.10 a share, the price looks full compared with those modest profits, though it is close to the company’s accounting value.

The full AI analysis, bull and bear case and key monitorables are in FairStock Pro.

Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-27) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-28) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-27) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-28) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-27) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-28) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-30)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer