Gran Tierra Energy Inc. Common Stock (GTE)

FairStock Score: 31/100 — RISKY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I look at Gran Tierra as a small oil and gas producer with no obvious moat: it sells a commodity, and its fortunes swing with oil prices and political conditions in Colombia, Canada, and Ecuador. The filed record is erratic. In fiscal 2025, revenue was $596.7M and net income was a loss of $193.1M, or diluted EPS of -$5.45. Fiscal 2024 had revenue of $621.8M and net income of $3.2M, or $0.10 per diluted share; fiscal 2023 had revenue of $637.0M and a net loss of $6.3M, or -$0.19. The latest quarter offers a sharp contrast: in fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, revenue was $187.2M, net income $24.9M, and diluted EPS $0.70. Revenue growth and profit growth are positive in FairStock's calculations, but the full-year picture remains troubled. Financial health is the chief worry. FairStock shows debt-to-equity of 4.71, ROE of -97.85%, ROCE of -6.96%, and an Altman Z-Score of -0.82, all pointing to leverage and distress risk. The Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, better than dire but not a fortress. Valuation is mixed. At the 2026-10-13 close of $10.62, FairStock's P/E is -1.47 and P/B is 2.84. FairStock's EV/EBITDA of 13.15 is not obviously cheap for a small E&P. Yet trailing twelve-month free cash flow is $206.6M, a 55.0% FCF yield on the $375.7M market cap. That cash-flow number is the bull case, but in a cyclical, levered E&P business I would demand proof it is sustainable and not just a working-capital or price-driven spike. The Lynch category is TURNAROUND, and it fits: loss in the latest year after earlier profits.

In plain English: Gran Tierra Energy is a small oil and gas company that drills in Colombia, Canada, and Ecuador. The business lost money in its latest full year and carries a lot of debt, but it earned a profit in the most recent quarter and generated a lot of cash over the past year. At $10.62 a share, the stock looks cheap compared with that cash flow, but expensive and risky compared with its losses and weak balance sheet.

The full AI analysis, bull and bear case and key monitorables are in FairStock Pro.

Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer