Green Brick Partners Inc. Common Stock (GRBK)

FairStock Score: 70/100 — STEADY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I see Green Brick as a cyclical homebuilder and land developer, not a wide-moat compounder. In fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, it earned $74.2 million of net income on $493.8 million of revenue. That compares with $81.9 million on $540.9 million in fiscal Q2 2025, the quarter ended 2025-06-30—roughly a 9% decline in both revenue and profit. For fiscal 2025, the year ended 2025-12-31, revenue was $2.0 billion and net income was $313.2 million, down from fiscal 2024, the year ended 2024-12-31, when revenue was $2.1 billion and net income was $381.6 million. Still, the balance sheet is conservative: FairStock calculations show debt-to-equity of 0.14, Altman Z-Score of 5.06, and return on equity of 16.38%. Free cash flow of $111.6 million gives a 4.2% FCF yield. At the $61.71 close on 2026-10-13, FairStock calculations show a P/E of 9.29, P/B of 1.38, EV/EBITDA of 7.30, and a Graham Number of $82.84, implying a 25.51% margin of safety. Piotroski F-Score is 5/9. The Lynch category is cyclical residential construction because earnings follow the economic cycle, so I treat the cheap multiple as compensation for volatility, not a guarantee. Growth has recently gone backward, which is the main tension. The price looks reasonable, but the earnings quality depends on the housing cycle.

In plain English: Green Brick Partners builds and sells homes and develops land in the United States. The business still earns good money, but recent sales and profits have slipped from a year earlier. At the recent price, the shares look modest compared with the company's earnings and assets, though homebuilding is tied to the economy and can swing sharply.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K/A (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K/A (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K/A (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer