Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares (GOOS)

FairStock Score: 27/100 — RISKY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

At $8.03 on 2026-10-13, Canada Goose is a recognizable luxury outerwear brand, but the numbers do not yet scream Buffett-style bargain. The business sells performance luxury outerwear through direct-to-consumer, wholesale, and other segments, and it generated $90.1M of trailing free cash flow, a 7.9% FCF yield on the $1.1B market cap. That cash generation is a real positive. However, the balance sheet and quality signals are weak: debt-to-equity is 1.53, ROCE is 7.90%, Piotroski F-Score is 0/9, and Altman Z-Score is 1.03. In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue was $118.9M and net income was -$90.8M, a -76.37% margin—seasonality may explain part of the loss, but the magnitude is alarming. FairStock calculations show a P/E of 19.12, P/B of 2.09, ROE of 12.18%, and a Graham Number of $7.13, which leaves a -12.62% margin of safety versus the close. The PEG of 0.70 and EV/EBITDA of 6.48 hint at value if earnings normalize, but the FairStock Score of 27/100 and no Lynch category (only 0 years of filed results, need 3) say the record is too short and inconsistent. Growth data are positive, but I need a wider discount and stronger balance sheet before treating this as an investment with a margin of safety.

In plain English: Canada Goose makes expensive winter coats and other clothing. The business has grown sales and profits, but it just reported a big loss in its latest quarter and carries a lot of debt. At $8.03, the shares look roughly fair to slightly expensive compared with its earnings and book value, not an obvious bargain.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer