Gevo Inc. Common Stock (GEVO)

FairStock Score: 67/100 — STEADY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

Gevo is a carbon-abatement company with real revenue but no durable earnings record. In fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, revenue was $46.5 million, net income was -$176.9 million, and diluted EPS was -$0.75. That loss is far larger than fiscal Q1 2026, the quarter ended 2026-03-31, when net income was -$21.7 million, so I would want to know what drove it before calling the business stable. The longer record shows why FairStock computes the Lynch category as none: losses in each of the last four years, including FY2025, period ended 2025-12-31, revenue of $160.6 million and net income of -$33.8 million; FY2024, period ended 2024-12-31, revenue of $16.9 million and net income of -$78.6 million; and FY2023, period ended 2023-12-31, revenue of $17.2 million and net income of -$66.2 million. Revenue has grown, but profitability has not. At the 2026-10-26 close of $1.14, FairStock calculates a market cap of $281.9 million, P/B of 1.00, negative P/E of -1.27, ROE of -55.53%, ROCE of -5.19%, and FCF yield of -20.1%. The Piotroski F-Score is 3/9 and Altman Z-Score is -1.85, both consistent with financial stress. Debt/equity of 0.61 is not overwhelming, but trailing free cash flow of -$56.7 million is a real cash burn. The stock is near its 52-week low of $1.09, which may tempt a bargain hunter, but Graham would ask for a margin of safety in earnings and assets. There is no earnings margin of safety here. A moat is not yet visible; the technology and low-carbon permits may have value, but the company has not proven pricing power or repeatable positive cash flow. I would watch revenue conversion, cash burn, and whether large losses are one-time or recurring.

In plain English: Gevo makes lower-carbon fuels and chemicals such as sustainable aviation fuel and renewable natural gas. It has sales, but it has not shown a lasting profit: the latest quarter had a very large loss and cash use, and annual results have been negative for years. At $1.14, the price is near the bottom of its 52-week range and looks roughly equal to accounting net worth, but not clearly cheap given the continuing losses.

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Data as of 2026-10-26 close · note generated 2026-10-28 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer