Genius Sports Limited Ordinary Shares (GENI)

FairStock Score: 64/100 — STEADY

Key Financials

Strengths

• Generates $101 million in annual free cash flow (9.0% yield on market cap)
• Conservative balance sheet with debt-to-equity of just 0.04, providing financial flexibility
• Revenue growth of 37.0% demonstrates strong top-line momentum

Concerns

• Currently unprofitable—sustained losses could lead to dilutive capital raises or balance sheet deterioration
• Altman Z-Score of 0.5 places it in the financial distress zone—elevated bankruptcy risk

AI Analysis

Genius Sports Limited Ordinary Shares is a micro-cap communication services company valued at $1.1 billion. Revenue stands at $713 million, though the company is currently unprofitable. From a quality standpoint, Genius shows solid Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and distressed Altman Z-Score of 0.5 warrants caution. On valuation, the stock is solid 6.2% FCF yield. Growth dynamics show revenue growing at 37.0% and profit growth of 26.9%. Our composite FairStock Score of 64/100 reflects above-average fundamentals overall. Without profitability, this remains speculative—suitable only for those with high risk tolerance and a long time horizon.

Bull Case

Genius's 37% revenue growth trajectory could accelerate as it captures additional market share in the communication services sector. With $101 million in annual free cash flow (9.0% yield), management has ample capital for buybacks, dividends, or accretive acquisitions.

Bear Case

Without a clear path to profitability, continued cash burn forces either dilutive equity raises or debt accumulation that destroys shareholder value. Regulatory changes, input cost inflation, or demand normalization represent underappreciated risks that could materially impact forward estimates.

Data from SEC filings. AI analysis is for educational purposes only — not investment advice. Scoring methodology · Disclaimer