Greenbrier Companies Inc. (The) Common Stock (GBX)

FairStock Score: 48/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I look at Greenbrier as a cyclical industrial, not a franchise. It builds and leases freight railcars, with 11,000 employees and a leasing arm, but the numbers show a business in a down cycle. In fiscal Q3 2026 (the quarter ended 2026-05-31), revenue was $576.5 million and net income $18.9 million, or $0.60 diluted EPS. A year earlier, fiscal Q3 2025 (the quarter ended 2025-05-31) had revenue of $842.7 million and net income of $60.1 million, or $1.86 diluted EPS. That is a severe decline. Full-year FY2025 (period ended 2025-08-31) was still $3.2 billion revenue and $204.1 million net income, or $6.35 diluted EPS, but trailing growth is deeply negative. The FairStock calculations show price at $39.31 on 2026-10-13, P/B 0.77, P/E 11.63, ROE 6.34%, ROCE 2.22%, D/E 1.09, and negative trailing free cash flow of $112.4 million. The Altman Z-Score of 1.05 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggest financial frailty. On asset value, the Graham Number is $62.19, leaving a 36.79% margin of safety, and the Lynch category is ASSET PLAY because it trades at 0.77 times book. That is tempting, but weak returns, negative cash flow and falling profits mean book value may not be stable. I see a speculative cyclical asset play, not a high-quality compounder. The 3.25% dividend yield helps only if cash generation recovers.

In plain English: Greenbrier makes and leases railroad freight cars. The business is in a weak stretch: sales and profits have fallen sharply from a year ago, and it is not currently generating cash. The stock looks inexpensive compared with its accounting value and profits, but that cheapness comes with real business and financial risk.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q3 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-05-31) · fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-02-28) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2025-11-30) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-05-31) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-08-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-08-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-08-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer