FTAI Aviation Ltd. Common Stock (FTAI)

FairStock Score: 35/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I approach FTAI as a Graham-style bargain hunter and Buffett-style business assessor, and the numbers give me pause. The company leases aircraft and engines and sells aerospace products; as of December 31, 2025 it owned or managed 290 aviation assets, mostly engines. Revenue has climbed: fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, produced $953.1 million of revenue and $125.1 million of net income, up from $676.2 million and $165.4 million in fiscal Q2 2025. For FY2025, revenue was $2.5 billion and net income $501.1 million, a dramatic swing from FY2024's $8.7 million profit. That turnaround is real, and the Lynch-style category is TURNAROUND—returned to profit after a loss within the last three years. But quality is mixed. Trailing free cash flow is negative $891.2 million, for a -5.2% FCF yield. The FairStock-calculated ROE is 174.46%, but P/B is 42.35 and debt-to-equity is 8.65, suggesting the return is flattered by a thin equity base and heavy leverage. ROCE of 11.41% is only decent. The Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, weak, while Altman Z-Score of 3.55 is not distressed. At the 2026-10-13 close of $166.87, P/E is 36.43, EV/EBITDA 18.57, and the Graham Number is $20.15, leaving a FairStock margin of safety of -728.14%. Growth is promising, but the price already assumes a lot. I would want cash generation and balance-sheet strength before calling this a value opportunity.

In plain English: FTAI Aviation owns and leases aircraft and engines and sells aviation products. The business is growing sales and has swung back to profits, but it burns cash and carries a lot of debt compared with the money shareholders have put in. At the latest close of $166.87, the price looks expensive relative to the company's accounting value and current earnings, even though it is below its high over the past year.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer