Ferguson Enterprises Inc. Common Stock (FERG)

FairStock Score: 48/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

In fiscal Q4 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, Ferguson reported revenue of $8.8B, net income of $666.0M, and diluted EPS of $3.43. That was better than fiscal Q4 2025, the quarter ended 2025-06-30, with $8.4B revenue, $634.0M net income, and $3.21 diluted EPS. But the longer record is muted: FY2025, period ended 2025-07-31, revenue was $30.8B and net income $1.9B; FY2024, period ended 2024-07-31, revenue was $29.6B and net income $1.7B; FY2023, period ended 2023-07-31, revenue was $29.7B and net income $1.9B. FairStock’s computed Lynch category is SLOW GROWER — Shrinking, with profit -4.4% a year over three years and revenue 2.5%. The company distributes essential water and air solutions, which supports replacement demand and scale, but distribution remains competitive and cyclical. Financial health is mixed: Altman Z-Score 3.44, debt-to-equity 1.11, trailing free cash flow $1.3B, FCF yield 2.9%, and Piotroski F-Score 4/9. At the close on 2026-10-13, price was $222.86. FairStock calculations show P/E 21.94, P/B 6.95, PEG 1.03, EV/EBITDA 13.88, and Graham Number $85.60, implying a margin of safety of -160.35%. The FairStock Score is 49/100. I see a decent operating business, but the price already assumes steady improvement and offers little Graham-style cushion.

In plain English: Ferguson sells plumbing, heating, cooling, water and air products to professional contractors and businesses in the U.S. and Canada. It is a large, steady distributor with recent sales and profit growth, but over the past three years profits have not expanded much. At the recent price, the stock looks fully valued: investors are paying a high price relative to the company’s accounting value and cash flow.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q4 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q3 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2025-10-31) · fiscal Q4 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-07-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-07-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-07-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer