Brinker International Inc. Common Stock (EAT)

FairStock Score: 64/100 — STEADY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

As a Buffett-style investor, I want understandable businesses with durable economics. Brinker owns and franchises Chili's and Maggiano's, so I understand the product, but casual dining has little customer captivity. The filed numbers show a sharp rebound: in FY2024, the period ended 2024-06-26, revenue was $4.4B, net income $155.3M, and diluted EPS $3.40; in FY2025, the period ended 2025-06-25, revenue was $5.4B, net income $383.1M, and diluted EPS $8.32; in FY2026, the period ended 2026-06-24, revenue was $5.8B, net income $487.0M, and diluted EPS $10.87. FairStock's Lynch screen calls it a FAST GROWER, citing 29.9% annual profit growth and 11.7% revenue growth over five years. That is impressive. The balance sheet is the rub: FairStock calculates D/E of 3.96, ROE of 119.57%, and ROCE of 14.28%, while P/B is 19.25. High returns are real but partly leverage-fed. At the 2026-10-13 close of $202.35, the FairStock-calculated P/E is 18.60, and FCF yield is 6.6%, with FCF of $557.5M; not outrageous for the growth. Yet the Graham Number is only $50.72, giving a margin of safety of -298.96%, and PEG is 2.52. Piotroski 8/9 and Altman 3.06 suggest financial strength, but the price already assumes continued execution. I want a margin of safety, not just momentum.

In plain English: Brinker runs Chili's and Maggiano's restaurants. The business has grown quickly and makes much more profit than it did a few years ago, but it owes a lot of money compared with its size, and the stock price looks full compared with its accounting value. It does not look like a bargain.

The full AI analysis, bull and bear case and key monitorables are in FairStock Pro.

Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q3 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-25) · fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2025-12-24) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-24) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-03-26) · FY2026 10-K (period ended 2026-06-24) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-06-25) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-06-26)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer