HF Sinclair Corporation Common Stock (DINO)

FairStock Score: 70/100 — STEADY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

HF Sinclair is a cyclical refiner and marketer, not a toll bridge. It owns refineries in Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Wyoming, Washington, and Utah and sells gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, lubricants, and asphalt. In fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, revenue was $10.4B and net income $892.0M, or diluted EPS $4.93; in fiscal Q2 2025, the quarter ended 2025-06-30, revenue was $6.8B and net income $208.0M, or diluted EPS $1.10. That is a huge swing. Fiscal year 2025, ended 2025-12-31, revenue was $26.9B with net income $579.0M and diluted EPS $3.08; fiscal year 2024, ended 2024-12-31, was $28.6B revenue, $177.0M net income, and $0.91 diluted EPS; fiscal year 2023, ended 2023-12-31, was $32.0B revenue, $1.6B net income, and $8.29 diluted EPS. That record tells me earnings are tethered to crack spreads and crude/product price relationships, not a durable growth curve. Financial health is decent: D/E 0.32, trailing FCF $1.3B, FCF yield 5.8%, Piotroski F-Score 7/9, Altman Z-Score 2.81, and dividend yield 1.81%. But ROCE 9.16% is only modest. At the 2026-10-13 close of $128.23, the FairStock P/E is 12.22 and P/B 2.22. The FairStock Graham Number is $112.49, leaving a margin of safety of -13.99%, so the price is above that conservative yardstick. FairStock's PEG ratio of 0.01 is distorted by cyclical profit recovery. The FairStock Score is 55/100, average. I see a decent operator in a commodity business, but the shares near their 52-week high ask for optimism on continued strong refining margins. A wider discount would be needed before this resembles a Graham-style bargain.

In plain English: HF Sinclair makes and sells fuels and lubricants, with refineries and related businesses mostly in the central and western United States. Profits have bounced strongly recently, but this remains a choppy business tied to energy prices and refining margins. At $128.23, the stock is near its 52-week high and looks full rather than cheap compared with the company's longer-term earnings record.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer