CoreCivic Inc. Common Stock (CXW)

FairStock Score: 65/100 — STEADY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I look for a durable business, honest numbers, and a price that leaves room for error. CoreCivic operates correctional and detention facilities under government contracts, which can create switching costs and a narrow moat, but it is also exposed to politics and public budgets. The filed results show real growth: in fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, revenue was $684.9 million and net income was $37.1 million, or $0.37 per diluted share. A year earlier, in fiscal Q2 2025, revenue was $538.2 million and net income was $38.5 million, or $0.35 per diluted share. Revenue grew strongly, but net income slipped. For fiscal 2025, revenue was $2.2 billion, net income $116.5 million, and diluted EPS $1.08, up from fiscal 2024 net income of $68.9 million and EPS of $0.62. The computed Lynch category is STALWART, with 16.6% annual profit growth over five years but only 3.0% revenue growth. Still, returns and the balance sheet are only fair: debt-to-equity is 0.95, return on equity is 8.77%, return on capital employed is 4.77%, and the Altman Z-Score is 1.30. Free cash flow is $57.3 million, just a 1.7% yield. At the 2026-10-13 close of $34.03, FairStock's P/E is 27.01, P/B is 2.34, and the Graham Number is $20.31, implying a negative 67.55% margin of safety. The PEG ratio of 0.53 looks reasonable if growth persists, but I see no bargain here.

In plain English: CoreCivic runs prisons, detention centers, and reentry centers for government agencies. The company is growing and profitable, but it carries substantial debt and generates little free cash compared with its market value. At the recent close, the stock looks expensive versus its earnings and book value, so the price already reflects a lot of good news.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer