Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. Common Stock (CVR)

FairStock Score: 64/100 — STEADY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

As a value investor, I start with the business. Chicago Rivet & Machine is a 158-employee fastener manufacturer and assembly-equipment seller, tied largely to North American automotive demand. That is a cyclical, capital-intensive niche with limited evidence of a durable moat. The numbers confirm stress: in fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, revenue was $7.2 million and net income was a loss of $989,528. In fiscal Q1 2026, ended 2026-03-31, the loss was $362,015. For fiscal 2025, ended 2025-12-31, revenue was $27.9 million and net loss $1.1 million; fiscal 2024, ended 2024-12-31, lost $5.6 million on $27.0 million of revenue; and fiscal 2023, ended 2023-12-31, lost $4.4 million on $31.5 million. The only recent profit in the filed figures was fiscal Q3 2025, ended 2025-09-30, at $67,572, so the turnaround is not yet proven. Financial health is mixed. At the 2026-10-13 close of $11.50, FairStock calculates P/B of 0.64 and a negative P/E of -4.55. Debt-to-equity is low at 0.11, and FairStock's Altman Z-score is 2.86, but trailing free cash flow is negative $1.4 million and FairStock's FCF yield is -12.8%. FairStock shows Piotroski is 2/9, ROE is -13.04%, and ROCE is -6.89%. The dividend yield of 1.26% is small but not covered by trailing free cash flow. Valuation looks statistically cheap against book, but that book is being eroded by losses. FairStock's computed Lynch category is TURNAROUND, based on a loss in the latest year after earlier profits. This is not a compounder. Until revenue stabilizes and cash flow turns positive, the low price is a speculation on repair, not a margin-of-safety bargain.

In plain English: Chicago Rivet & Machine makes rivets and machines that set rivets, mainly for car makers and their suppliers. The business looks weak right now: sales are shrinking and the company lost money in the latest quarter and latest full year. The stock looks cheap compared with the value of its net assets on paper, but the losses and negative cash flow make it a risky kind of cheap.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer